Government on course to lose election


The government parties do not appear to have done enough to persuade Danish voters to support them in the final days of the general election campaign; the election is on Thursday 15th September.

Venstre and its allies are up slightly from a Megafon poll on 1st September which gave them 46.5% of the vote. In a Berlingske poll published yesterday they stand at 47.9%. They still trail the opposition parties led by the Social Democrats who were on 52.8% and are now standing on 52% still around four percentage points ahead. However, the margin of error in the polls suggests that it could remain a very close result.

The two parties to have increased their support since the start of the election are the Danish People’s Party (DF) and the Social Liberal Party (RVB). The DF have recovered some of the ground they lost in early 2011 and are standing close to their 2007 result of 13.9%. The RVB have increased their support from the 2007 poll when they had 5.1% of the vote to 10% in this latest poll.

The poll results published yesterday as compared with the 1st September position are given below:

Venstre (V) 23% down 2.5%
Social Democratic Party (SD) 25.7% down .5%
Danish People’s Party (DF) 13.6% up 1.2%
Socialist People’s Party (SF) 9.8% up 1.3%
Conservative People’s Party (KF) 5% down .9%
Social Liberal Party (RVB) 10% up .7% (You may also see them referred to as the ‘Radicals’)
Liberal Alliance 5.4% down .3%
Red Green Alliance 7.2% up .8%

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