France

Latest poll suggests close finish


Published

The latest poll by IFOP for the French legislative election to take place on 10th June with a second round on 17th June suggests that François Hollande’s Socialist Party (PS) will take a narrow lead in the National Assembly.

The latest poll which was conducted in mid-May puts the Socialists with the Radical Party of the Left on 34.5%, that is up on the first round vote in 2007 of 24.73, but probably not enough to give them an overall majority in the 577 seat National Assembly.

The fractured Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) and its allies are on 32.5%, down from the first round vote in 2007 of 39.54%.

If these polls reflect the final result then President Hollande may be forced into a deal with the far left or the Greens to ensure a parliamentary majority. That, in itself, will cause him to have to water down his policies. The Socialists need 289 seats for a majority.

The National Front are on 16% and the Democratic Movement (MoDem) are on 4%.

Tagged with:

More detailed briefing on the politics and risk of doing business in this country is available to clients and subscribers. If you would like to know more then please contact enquiries@tradebridgeconsultants.com