Poll shows Socialists set to lose


A poll by Metroscopia in yesterday’s El Pais newspaper suggests that the ruling Socialist party of Prime Minister José Zapatero will lose heavily in the 20th November general election.

The poll gives the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) 30.7% of the vote; in the 2008 general election they took 43.7% of the vote. They are being led into the campaign by new party leader Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba who has failed to distance himself from Zapatero; just 37% of socialist voters believe he has a clear plan.

The main opposition party, the People’s Party (PP) scores 44.8% of the vote, up from 40.1% in 2008. If the poll is correct then this will give them 185 seats in the 350 seat Congress of Deputies, a majority of ten.

The United Left (IU) get 6.2% up from 3.8% and the Union, Progress and Democracy Party (UPyD or UPD) a relative newcomer, gets 4.4% up from 1.2% in 2008.

Other parties, which includes some important regional parties, get 13.9% up from 11.2% in 2008.

According to the newspaper the majority of PSOE supporters believe that their party will lose the general election, which in turn could lead to a low turnout.

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