New Zealand

Two days to go and National still leads


Prime Minister John Key’s National Party is still on course to have an overall majority in Saturday’s general election – just.

Two new polls put National on 50% and 50.8%, with the main opposition Labour Party behind on 28% and 26%. If these figures come true then National would take 65 of the 120 seats in the House of Representatives.

The results for the two polls are as follows with the ONE News Colmar Brunton poll first and the 3 News Reid Research poll second:

National; 50% & 50.8%
Labour; 28% & 26%
Greens; 10% & 13.4%
New Zealand First; 4.2% & 3.1%
Conservative Party; 2.4% & 1.8%
Māori Party; 2% & 1.5%
ACT; 1.7% & 1%
Mana; 1% & 1.1%
United Future; 1% & unclassified.

Of some concern to the National Party should be the growing number of undecideds so late into the campaign. Both polls recorded that the figure for undecideds had gone up from around 9% to 12%.

Meanwhile a court has decided not to rule on whether a taped conversation between John Key and a candidate of another party, tagged the Teapot affair, can be released. John Key has said that the conversation was private and was not a election breaker. Because he has declined to allow the tape to be released and sought a court ruling the opposition parties have suggested that he has something to hide.

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