GERB rises in the polls
Novinite has reported a new poll by the polling agency Sova Harris which suggests that there will be five parties in the next parliament after the general election on 5th October.
The poll suggests that the centre-right Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) will be the largest party again with 43% of the vote. That figure is up on the 2013 result when they took 30.54% of the vote and 97 of the 240 seats in the National Assembly. In early July, soon after the election was announced, GERB were on around 23% of the vote.
In the 2013 election GERB were unable to form a government and that task was left to the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) and its allies with around half of the seats. A year later the BSP led Coalition for Bulgaria (KB) was unable to sustain the government and called a fresh election.
In this latest opinion poll the BSP are on 31%; last time they took 26.61% of the vote and 84 seats. The third placed party last time, the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) is on 11% this time, about the same as last year when they took 11.31% and 36 seats.
In fourth place in the recent poll is Bulgaria Without Censorship (BBT). They are a new centre-right party formed in January 2014 which combined with a small party, Lider, on 18th August ; they are on 7% of the vote
The fifth and final party which is likely to get representation on 5th October is the Reformist Bloc (RB), a right wing party formed in December 2013. They won a seat in the European Parliament elections in May as did Bulgaria Without Censorship. The Reformist Bloc are also on 7% of the vote.
The right wing to far-right Attack (Ataka) which took 7.3% of the vote and 23 seats last year is on around 2.3% of the vote this year. The threshold for representation is 4%.