Coalition parties arguing
The three parties in the coalition government failed to reach agreement again this week with the Public Affairs (VV) party saying that it will withdraw from the government if it does not get back its two extra ministerial posts. They also want the 2012 budget to include new taxes on gambling.
If the VV were to leave the government then the opposition Social Democratic Party (CSSD) would call a confidence vote and the government would most likely fall, triggering an election.
A new opinion poll suggests that this is an unlikely scenario because of the poor standing of the VV in the polls.
The Public Affairs party attracts just 3.5% support in the new poll by the Institute of Sociology of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic. In the May 2010 election they received 10.88% of the vote. With a 5% threshold for representation in the parliament, they would lose all of their seats if an election were to be called.
The main coalition partner, the Civic Democratic Party (ODS) is maintaining its support with 21% (20.22% in 2010), but the other party Top 09 has dropped back a little and is on 16% (16.7% in 2010).
The main winners are the opposition Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD) who are on 33.5%; in 2010 they were on 22.08%. The opposition Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia are also doing better, with 15.5% of the vote currently and 11.27% in 2010.
The major winners in any new election would be the Christian and Democratic Union – Czechoslovak People’s Party (KDU-CSL) who are on 5.5%. In 2010 they dropped below the 5% threshold to 4.39% and lost all 13 seats they had previously held.